The Role of Time in Price Determination

The Role of Time in Price Determination

Renowned economist Alfred Marshall emphasized the critical role of time in determining prices. He introduced the concept of “periods,” during which the forces of demand and supply interact to establish the equilibrium price. Depending on the period in question, either demand or supply can exert a stronger influence on price determination.

Marshall categorized time into four distinct types:

Market Period

Short Period

Long Period

Very Long Period (Secular Period)

Let’s explore each of these periods to understand how prices are determined.

1. Market Period: The Role of Demand

The market period refers to a very short time frame, often a few hours or a single day.

* Key Characteristics:

Supply remains fixed due to the short duration.

Even if demand rises, it’s impossible to increase supply immediately.

* Price Determination:

During this period, demand is the primary factor influencing price. The price established in this period is referred to as the Market Price.

2. Short Period: Limited Supply Adjustments

The short period spans a slightly longer timeframe, such as four days to a week.

* Key Characteristics:

There is no time to build new industries or install new machinery.

Supply can only be increased marginally by utilizing existing resources more intensively.

* Price Determination:

Demand plays a dominant role in price determination during this period. The resulting price is called the Short Period Price.

3. Long Period: A Balance of Demand and Supply

The long period extends over one or two years, providing enough time for industries to adapt.

* Key Characteristics:

New industries can be established, and new machinery can be installed.

Supply can be adjusted significantly to match changes in demand.

* Price Determination:

Both demand and supply are equally influential in setting prices. The price determined during this period is known as the Long Period Price.

4. Very Long Period (Secular Period): Supply Takes the Lead

The secular period spans several years or decades.

* Key Characteristics:

Major changes in supply occur due to advancements in technology, the establishment of new industries, and the use of modern machinery.

Demand also evolves significantly due to changes in population, income levels, and consumer preferences.

* Price Determination:

While both demand and supply are important, supply takes precedence in determining prices. This price is referred to as the Secular Price.

Conclusion

Marshall’s classification of time highlights the dynamic relationship between demand, supply, and price determination. In shorter periods, demand exerts greater influence due to the rigidity of supply, whereas in longer periods, supply becomes more adaptable and influential. This framework not only explains the mechanics of price determination but also provides insights into the complexities of economic planning and decision-making over time.